Wednesday, June 16, 2010

Johnson Controls Paints a Promising Picture for the Future of Energy Efficiency

Johnson Controls is the world's largest provider of energy efficiency solutions for commercial buildings. While their approach -- provision of services as an ESCO (primarily for governmental organizations) and the sale of large-scale, proprietary energy management systems -- differs a bit from what we do at Octus Energy, our focus is the same: Generate sustainable energy savings through various means for commercial building owners. JCI is big brother. When they speak, people and companies and analysts take note.

At last week's CleanTech analyst day -- as summarized in an investment brief by analyst Canaccord|Genuity -- Johnson Controls shared a few interesting morsels:

The cleantech “megatrend.” Clean technology is now a “long-term global growth megatrend,” according to JCI management. Management specifically noted that buildings in North America and Europe, which together account for 40% of the world’s energy consumption and 70% of electricity usage, represent the single biggest opportunity for cleantech.

$24 billion opportunity. JCI estimates the energy solutions market is a $24 billion global opportunity, growing at approximately 9%-14% per year. Key market drivers for the energy solutions market include: 1) climate legislation and energy security; 2) corporate climate commitments; 3) volatile energy costs; 4) innovative funding models (including PACE, as Octus discussed here and here); 5) deployment of smart-grid technology; and 6) energy efficiency renewable resource standards.

Feds step up. Legislation and regulation are key drivers in the energy efficiency marketplace. In the United States, there have been energy efficiency bills in both the lower and upper house (the American Energy and Security Act of 2009 in the House and the American Clean Leadership Act of 2009 in the Senate). The Senate bill has been passed out of committee and includes the following features:
  • National electricity and renewable electricity standard
  • Energy efficiency building retrofit program
  • Energy efficiency programs for states
  • Building codes incentives
  • Building performance information
  • New clean energy deployment administration
Meanwhile, recent events in the Gulf of Mexico are spurring interest in energy and climate bills that otherwise would not have been brought up or passed this year.

PACE financing programs gaining momentum. Property Assessed Clean Energy, or PACE, is a financing solution that enables property owners to pay for energy efficiency, renewable energy and water efficiency projects via an additional assessment on their property tax bill over a five to ten-year term. The PACE program benefits building owners by: 1) eliminating the need for large upfront cash payments; 2) offering a competitive cost of capital; 3) solving credit rating collateral issues; 4) potentially moving the projects off-balance sheet; and 5) allowing owners to pass through retrofit costs to tenants. Johnson Controls echoed our sentiment that PACE financing will be one of the keys to unlocking the huge retrofit opportunity in the commercial building sector.

IT convergence.
JCI sees the “smart building” as the starting point that is needed before a “smart grid” is even possible; again, echoing Octus's energy management and building automation strategy through our Smart Energy Platform. Put simply, the “smart grid” can’t analyze much without a “smart building” providing it with real-time information. The company noted that the integration of equipment and controls coming together in one product has been a major advancement for the industry.

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